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mac
Joined: 07 Mar 1999 Posts: 17775 Location: Berkeley, California
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Posted: Tue Apr 03, 2018 11:12 am Post subject: Did fake news steal the election? |
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Quote: | President Trump has said repeatedly that Russian interference didn't matter in the 2016 presidential campaign, and he has suggested — wrongly — that the intelligence and law enforcement communities have said the same. His overriding fear seems to be that Russian interference and the “fake news” it promoted would undermine the legitimacy of his election win.
Trump won't like this new study one bit.
The study from researchers at Ohio State University finds that fake news probably played a significant role in depressing Hillary Clinton's support on Election Day. The study, which has not been peer reviewed but which may be the first look at how fake news affected voter choices, suggests that about 4 percent of President Barack Obama's 2012 supporters were dissuaded from voting for Clinton in 2016 by belief in fake news stories.
Richard Gunther, Paul A. Beck and Erik C. Nisbet, the study's authors, inserted three popular fake news stories from the 2016 campaign into a 281-question YouGov survey given to a sample that included 585 Obama supporters — 23 percent of whom didn't vote for Clinton, either by abstaining or picking another candidate (10 percent voted Trump, which is in line with other estimates).
Here are the false stories, along with the percentages of Obama supporters who believed they were at least “probably” true (in parenthesis):
Clinton was in “very poor health due to a serious illness” (12 percent)
Pope Francis endorsed Trump (8 percent)
Clinton approved weapons sales to Islamic jihadists, “including ISIS” (20 percent)
Overall, about one-quarter of 2012 Obama voters believed at least one of these stories (26 percent). And of that group, just 45 percent voted for Clinton — compared to 89 percent who believed none of the three.
This alone does not prove that fake news made a difference, of course. A recent Princeton-led study of fake news consumption during the 2016 campaign found that false articles made up only 2.6 percent of all hard-news articles late in the 2016 campaign, with the stories most often reaching intense partisans who probably were not persuadable. And it wouldn't be surprising if Obama voters who weren't reliable Democratic supporters were more apt to believe fake news stories that affirmed their decision not to vote for Clinton.
So the researchers sought to control for other factors such as gender, race, age, education, political leaning and even personal feelings about Clinton and Trump using multiple regression analysis, a method to measure the relative impact of multiple independent variables. According to the researchers, all of these factors combined to explain 38 percent of the defection of Obama voters from Clinton, but belief in fake news explained an additional 11 percent.
For those defecting from Clinton, believing fake news actually had a greater effect than anything except being a Republican or personally disliking Clinton. Obama voters who believed one of these fake news stories “were 3.9 times more likely to defect from the Democratic ticket in 2016 than those who believed none of these false claims, after taking into account all of these other factors,” the researchers write.
“We cannot prove that belief in fake news caused these former Obama voters to defect from the Democratic candidate in 2016,” they write. “These data strongly suggest, however, that exposure to fake news did have a significant impact on voting decisions.” |
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2018/04/03/a-new-study-suggests-fake-news-might-have-won-donald-trump-the-2016-election/?utm_term=.f05965460611&wpisrc=nl_most&wpmm=1 |
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mat-ty
Joined: 07 Jul 2007 Posts: 7850
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Posted: Tue Apr 03, 2018 7:50 pm Post subject: |
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Only in the mind of a moron. |
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wsurfer
Joined: 17 Aug 2000 Posts: 1635
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Posted: Tue Apr 03, 2018 10:40 pm Post subject: |
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mat-ty wrote: | Only in the mind of a moron. |
Why is it when the losers are defeated with intellect they just resort to name calling.
Sounds eerily familiar to DJT |
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jp5
Joined: 19 May 1998 Posts: 3394 Location: OnUr6
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Posted: Wed Apr 04, 2018 10:19 am Post subject: |
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wsurfer wrote: | mat-ty wrote: | Only in the mind of a moron. |
Why is it when the losers are defeated with intellect they just resort to name calling.
Sounds eerily familiar to DJT |
Good question. We've seen nothing but hate and name calling from liberals since Trump was elected. |
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mat-ty
Joined: 07 Jul 2007 Posts: 7850
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Posted: Wed Apr 04, 2018 10:38 am Post subject: |
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wsurfer wrote: | mat-ty wrote: | Only in the mind of a moron. |
Why is it when the losers are defeated with intellect they just resort to name calling.
Sounds eerily familiar to DJT |
Sorry but continuing to look for excuses for how Trump won would make you a MORON at this point... |
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real-human
Joined: 02 Jul 2011 Posts: 14934 Location: on earth
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Posted: Thu Apr 05, 2018 8:33 am Post subject: |
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jpbassman wrote: | wsurfer wrote: | mat-ty wrote: | Only in the mind of a moron. |
Why is it when the losers are defeated with intellect they just resort to name calling.
Sounds eerily familiar to DJT |
Good question. We've seen nothing but hate and name calling from liberals since Trump was elected. |
lucifers are the right wing, low level thinkers are the right wing.,, raping children and sexually assulting females is the right wing....
when you right wingers support that, well it is fair game to attack you for it... hahahah you can dish it but when it is back in your face you cry victim. Try reading about the rights of unclean hands in the world of law.
you supported Rush attacking presidents daughters 30 years ago... he called Janet Reno what? started the feminazi name calling 30 years ago and some Dems are picking on your self admitted sexual assaulting , rapist president, who works for the russians and you are crying the white victim game.... _________________ when good people stay silent the right wing are the only ones heard. |
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real-human
Joined: 02 Jul 2011 Posts: 14934 Location: on earth
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Posted: Fri Jul 13, 2018 2:01 pm Post subject: |
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trump claims what was reported was fake news and what was reported was his words...
https://www.yahoo.com/news/trump-slams-uk-prime-minister-180259550.html
Trump slams UK Prime Minister Theresa May
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"The View" co-hosts discuss the president's subsequent denial that he was critical of May, calling it "fake news." |
_________________ when good people stay silent the right wing are the only ones heard. |
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isobars
Joined: 12 Dec 1999 Posts: 20936
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Posted: Fri Jul 13, 2018 11:00 pm Post subject: |
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It surely tried, but clearer heads prevailed. |
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KGB-NP
Joined: 25 Jul 2001 Posts: 2856
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Posted: Sat Jul 14, 2018 9:16 am Post subject: |
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wsurfer wrote: | mat-ty wrote: | Only in the mind of a moron. |
Why is it when the losers are defeated with intellect they just resort to name calling.
Sounds eerily familiar to DJT |
"losers" - that would be resorting to name calling, would it not? _________________ The universe is made up of proton, neutrons, electrons, and morons. |
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wsurfer
Joined: 17 Aug 2000 Posts: 1635
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Posted: Sat Jul 14, 2018 9:43 am Post subject: |
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jpbassman wrote: | wsurfer wrote: | mat-ty wrote: | Only in the mind of a moron. |
Why is it when the losers are defeated with intellect they just resort to name calling.
Sounds eerily familiar to DJT |
Good question. We've seen nothing but hate and name calling from liberals since Trump was elected. |
Better double check mat-ty's posts, he makes up for ALL of the liberals on this board!!! |
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